萨特梅尔对 1928 年以来的数据进行分析后发现,标普 500 指数在历年 8 月、9 月和 10 月的平均回报率为-0.03%,这是该指数一年中表现最差的三个月。从 1992 年以来的数据来看,VIX 恐慌指数常在这几个月里大幅上升,在 4 月至 7 月期间波动性较低。
美股迎来最坏的日子?未必,但有一件事情是确定的
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