摩根士丹利：劳动力市场可能会接替 CPI 成为 FOMC 的关键指标

USHK News
2022.12.14 03:45
以 Ellen Zentner 的摩根士丹利分析师表示，从现在开始，劳动力市场可能会成为 FOMC 的关键指标，而不是 CPI。随着通胀下降趋势变得根深蒂固，FOMC 可以直接将目光投向劳动力市场。在我们的预测中，未来几个月就业增长将放缓，首先将为 2 月份的议息会议进一步放缓加息步伐至 25 个基点奠定基础。随着就业增长人数趋向于走低至 10 万大关，我们预计 3 月 FOMC 会议上不会进一步加息，联邦基金利率将在 4.625% 见顶。
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