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小摩：“明斯基时刻” 可能性增加，第一季度或是美股年内高点

36Kr
2023.03.20 23:22
摩根大通首席全球市场策略师 Marko Kolanovic 表示，银行倒闭、市场动荡以及央行应对高通胀带来的持续经济不确定性，增加了 “明斯基时刻” 出现的可能性。这一术语指的是长期经济繁荣导致过度冒险的最后阶段。在这个时候，任何不稳定的事件都可能迫使投资者出售资产换取现金以偿还贷款，从而引发市场崩盘。摩根大通预计美联储周三将选择加息 25 个基点，并坚持此前预测，即第一季度最终将成为今年股市的高点。（智通财经）
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