In today’s pre-mkt summary for Subscribers: Stocks declined amid uncertainty over new 15% global tariffs following the Supreme Court's invalidation of President Trump’s emergency levies, with added pressures from Trump’s Middle East military buildup against Iran and a severe blizzard impacting the NYC area. Gold and silver advanced and #btc stabilized after dipping below $65K. This is a pivotal week featuring Trump’s State of the Union Tuesday and $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) earnings Wednesday.
We maintain our view that equities will go to new highs as cooling inflation and decelerating employment growth boost prospects for faster Fed easing, with money markets pricing two cuts by year-end, with the first likely by July. 2026 S&P 500 EPS growth is projected to grow +12% YoY to $310, which implies a forward P/E of 22.3x. This implies a 4.5% earnings yield, a +40bp premium to 10yr yields, aligning with non-recessionary historical norms. On $Tesla(TSLA.US), the narrative of its unique path to generalized unsupervised autonomy has eroded as $Alphabet - C(GOOG.US), $Baidu(BIDU.US), $WeRide(WRD.US), $Pony AI(PONY.US), and $Amazon(AMZN.US) scale to 750K paid unsupervised autonomous rides weekly without safety monitors, while $NVIDIA(NVDA.US)’s decision to open its AI chips/software stack to other OEMs starting 1H 2026 effectively democratizes unsupervised autonomy.The copyright of this article belongs to the original author/organization.
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