🚨【Hardcore Review】Xiaomi Group: RSI Soars to 87.8, Is It a "Main Uplift Wave" or a "Bull Trap"?

📊 Core View: $XIAOMI-W(01810.HK) The "golden pit" at 33.32 has been confirmed, but at this moment (35.46), it is in the "red zone" of short-term sentiment. It can even be said that this is a typical "Friday liquidity game".

🤖 Model Monitoring: Collision of Speed and Resistance
Our internal momentum model shows that this morning's rally exhibited a rare "one-sided short squeeze" pattern. In our algorithm, this is called "Inertial Overload" (Metaphor for 驿马/冲格):

Fundamentals: Like a sports car sprinting at full speed, although the momentum is strong, when it touches the 35.50-35.80 range—a previous chip-intensive area—the engine heat (RSI) has reached its limit.
Technical: The 1-hour RSI surged to 87.82. In quantitative trading, this usually means extreme exhaustion of buying momentum, and the gravitational pull of mean reversion is rapidly increasing.

🌍 Macro and Fundamental Logic

Business: Xiaomi's recent moat in the EV sector (SU7 Ultra, etc.) and the AIoT ecosystem is indeed deepening, which is the fundamental reason why 33.32 could form an effective "weekly hammer line."
Capital: However, it should be noted that Friday afternoons are often the "settlement window" for international risk-averse funds and quantitative funds. Against the backdrop of global uncertainty, profit-taking (especially chips that have gained over 6% in just two days) has a strong demand for realization.

⏳ Key Time Window (Time Windows)
Please focus on the market rhythm this afternoon from 13:00 - 16:00:

The model predicts this will be the period with the highest "long-short turnover rate."
Main forces are likely to take advantage of retail investors' FOMO sentiment to complete a short-term "high-low switch" near the 35.60 surge.

⚔️ Trading Strategy: Don’t Be the "Bagholder" of Liquidity

🛑 Profit-Takers (Right-Side Conservative):

If you got cheap chips in the 33.30-34.00 range, now is not the time to be greedy. RSI>85 is for taking profits, not for adding positions.
It is recommended to lock in profits in batches. Don’t try to bet on weekend news; certain returns are the real deal.

🛡️ Ambushers (Waiting for Pullback):

Those who missed the rally, don’t chase highs! The current price is all spikes.
Patient hunters will wait until next Monday. If it can pull back to 34.80 - 35.00 and confirm effective support, that will be the safe entry point after passing the "stress test."

⚠️ Left-Side Trading Special Note (High Risk):

For extremely high-risk players who want to bet on the afternoon’s surge and pullback (top-touching):
Position Control: Strictly no more than 10% position.
Logic: Catching falling knives (or anti-air) must come with a stop-loss (35.90). This is snatching food from a tiger’s mouth—once the key resistance is broken, retreat unconditionally.

📉 Summary:
The trend has reversed (daily engulfing bullish), but timing is life and death.
Don’t push at the finish line of a 100-meter sprint; let it catch its breath. 33.32 is the bottom, but 35.50 may be the short-term top.

(Data as of 2026-02-06 11:45 | For technical discussion only, not investment advice)