
📉 [In-depth Review] The 'Critical Leap' After Low-Volume Trading: A Full Technical Analysis of Xiaomi This Week

⚠️ Preface: Trading is not about predicting the future, but about the ultimate management of 'probability'. While the market is focused on news and sentiment, the volume-price structure of the K-line has already written the script.
The market action of $XIAOMI-W(01810.HK) today was very interesting. There was high-volume probing in the morning session, followed by low-volume sideways consolidation in the afternoon. Many are asking why it hasn't surged yet? Don't rush, 'building up momentum' is more important than a 'sneak attack'.
Combining 15m/1H high-frequency data with the weekly chart structure, this week's price action is forming a classic 'Volatility Compression -> Breakout' model. Below is a hardcore breakdown from a pure technical perspective 👇
1️⃣ Current State: The 'Calm' Before the Storm (Squeeze) 🌪️
- Technical Pattern: The stock price is currently stuck around 35.92. You can think of it as a 'spring compressed to its limit'.
- Volume Signal: Pay attention to the trading volume after 11:00 today (Tuesday), which shows extreme contraction. This low-volume sideways consolidation is digesting the profit-taking from the morning session, building a higher safety cushion for major funds.
- Metaphor: The current market is like 'aerial refueling'. The bulls haven't retreated; they're just waiting for the starting gun.
2️⃣ Scenario Projection: Key Time Windows and Price Levels ⏳
Based on volatility cycle calculations, the real trend-changing window is not today, but tomorrow (Wednesday).
- 🕹️ Phase One: Base Building & Bear Trap (Tuesday Afternoon - Wednesday Morning)
- It's highly likely major players will repeatedly test the support level around 35.50.
- If there's a quick drop to retest 35.50 - 35.60 without breaking it, don't panic. This is most likely a 'fake-out drop', where major players are flushing out the last weak hands (shaking out).
- 🚀 Phase Two: Ignition & Breakout (Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday)
- Core Resistance Zone: 36.20 - 36.36.
- Once a high-volume breakout occurs above this range (especially the 36.36 weekly bull-bear dividing line), it signals the end of the range-bound consolidation. Technical indicators will align in full resonance, initiating the main uptrend mode.
3️⃣ Trading Strategy: Left-side Ambush vs Right-side Follow ⚔️
Different styles determine your entry approach:
🛡️ 【Left-side Trader】(High Risk · High Reward)
- Logic: Bet on the strong support at 35.50 holding, gambling that this is a bottom reversal.
- Action: Accumulate a base position in batches within the 35.50 - 35.80 range.
- ⚠️ Risk Warning: Left-side trading is essentially 'catching a falling knife'. Strict position sizing is mandatory (suggested no more than 30% of capital). If the judgment is wrong, and the price decisively breaks below 35.00, it means the trend is broken. Cut losses immediately without hesitation, don't hold on!
🏹 【Right-side Trader】(Steady · Trend-following)
- Logic: Don't release the eagle until you see the rabbit; only eat the body of the fish.
- Action: Set a price alert at 36.36.
- Signal: Only when the price breaks above 36.36 on high volume and holds for 15 minutes on the K-line is the definitive 'starting gun' fired. Entering here, though at a slightly higher cost, offers an extremely high win rate, targeting **37.50+**.
💡 Hardcore Summary
Don't be fooled by today's minor ups and downs.
Tuesday is 'setting the stage', Wednesday is when the 'show' begins. 🎭
Keep a close eye on the pressure valve at 36.20. Once it's breached, it's a liquidity overflow party.
Disclaimer: Pure technical analysis sharing, not investment advice. The market carries risks, risk management is paramount. 🛡️
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