
☠️ Xiaomi (1810.HK) Review: The suffocating "dead fish" market, actually the eye of the storm 🌪️

Today's trading session for $XIAOMI-W(01810.HK) is putting people to sleep? Trading volume shrank to 107 million (13% less than yesterday), and volatility is almost zero.
Don't be fooled by appearances. In quantitative trading, such extreme "Liquidity Dry-up" often signals only one thing: a trend reversal is coming within 24 hours.
📊 【Data Autopsy · Why No Movement Today?】
- Bollinger Squeeze at its Limit:
Open the 1H (1-hour) chart, the Bollinger Bands' upper and lower bands are converging rapidly. The stock price is tightly squeezed in the middle, like a spring compressed to its limit. This physical pattern has only one outcome: no more sideways movement, a one-sided breakout. - Volume Feigns Death:
The entire day's turnover was only 107 million, indicating both bulls and bears have "ceased fire." This isn't peace; it's the calm before the decisive battle. - End-of-Session Short Trap:
The K-line MACD formed a death cross and returned to zero 15 minutes before the close. The main force deliberately created a sense of "weakness" at the close, which is likely a technical trap.
🧨 【Scenario Projection · Tomorrow (Wednesday) is D-Day】
Based on volatility cycle projections, tomorrow (Wednesday) will be the key node for "volatility expansion." This dead, stagnant sideways movement absolutely cannot last until Thursday.
🕰️ Timeline Preview:
- Morning (9:30 - 11:00) 📉 Excavator Moment:
The main force will most likely use today's low-volume decline to conduct a "Liquidity Sweep" during the morning session. - Action Prediction: Gap down or sharp sell-off, instantly breaking through today's average price, retesting the 34.80 - 35.00 zone.
- Purpose: Shake out weak stop-loss orders and dig out a "golden pit."
- Afternoon (13:00 - 14:45) 🚀 Ignition Moment:
Once floating chips are cleaned up, if trading volume can double, the real "rocket" will be launched in the afternoon. - Key Resistance: 36.20. Holding above this level confirms the trend reversal.
⚔️ 【Hardcore Execution · Trader's Orders】
Since we've anticipated the main force's "dig pit + pump" script, our strategy must also proceed in two steps:
1️⃣ Left-Side Setup — Aggressive Players
- Logic: Bet on a morning "fake drop."
- Position: If the price drops sharply to the 34.80 - 35.10 range during the morning session, showing signs of stabilization on low volume.
- ⚠️ Risk Warning: Catching a falling knife on the left side is extremely risky! Must strictly control position size (suggest no more than 20-30%). If the judgment is wrong, this is catching the falling knife.
- Stop Loss: 34.50. A decisive break below this level triggers an unconditional stop loss, invalidating the logic.
2️⃣ Trend Following — Conservative Players
- Logic: Don't act until you see the rabbit; only go for certainty.
- Signal: Wait for the price to break through 36.20 with volume (today's high and the upper Bollinger Band).
- Action: Follow the trend instantly upon the breakout; this is the highest-probability profit-taking segment.
💡 Summary:
Don't close your trading software because of today's dullness. The more extreme the compression, the stronger the explosive force.
Buckle up, tomorrow's K-line chart might look as exciting as an EKG. 📈
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