【260407】You must be looking for the reason behind the late-session surge, and I've already found it for you.

The late-session surge was because of this news.

It's beyond saving now; any piece of news can cause strong volatility in the market. It seems everyone is going long, everyone is bottom-fishing, waiting for the stock and oil markets to surge.

This back-and-forth information war is too annoying. I need to collect as many fragments of behavior from both sides as possible, conduct in-depth analysis, and find the answer.

Next, I need to make my strategy more flexible:

❶ Start building short positions when $United States Oil Fund LP(USO.US) reaches around 143 again; if there's no short-selling quota, short $Us Brent Oil(BNO.US) at a price between 56-58, building positions gradually instead of going all-in.

❷ The shift in short-term view from bearish to bullish, because ceasefire expectations are also bullish. Every bombing of key facilities could potentially lead to a short-term ceasefire at any time. I will buy 260717 C 210 based on the actual situation the next time $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) falls to around 173. The time is long enough, and the margin for error is large. You can follow and pin this option, and you also need to follow 260717 P 150.

❸ $Intel(INTC.US) may require lowering profit expectations for shorting. Everyone should control their positions based on their own predictions. I will also post to notify everyone when I close my position. The fundamental reason for shorting Intel is the stock price surge without substantial positive catalysts. I just hope to accelerate its decline with the help of the oil price surge. It's the same reason I've been shorting $Arm(ARM.US) these past few days. When we trade stocks, we are essentially doing subtraction: removing those with uncertain profits, low safety margins, and those easily disturbed by external factors. This is also why I chose to short Intel.

@全能铁卫     @TZ9 @西瓜moko @价投路上的孤勇者 @胖虎叱咤老美 

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