
AI 还是有道理的,太关注$AST SpaceMobile(ASTS.US)去了,没有按照指引买 2 张。否则现在收益相当不错。
明天可以好好分析一下。
[透视] AMD 06-26 期权分析正股:
•现价 $488.45,距日高 $490.46 仅一步之遥
•日低 $458.02 → 日内反弹 +$30(+6.5%),强势回升
期权链(06-26,DTE≈9 天):
行权价 类型 权利金 IV
C490 ATM Call $29.25 74%
C495 OTM Call $27.60 75%
C500 OTM Call $24.55 73%
P490 ATM Put $29.36 73%
P495 OTM Put $32.00 73%
关键矛盾:P490=$29.36 ≈ C490=$29.25 → Put 溢价异常高 → 说明市场刚经历过恐慌($458 低点),恐慌定价还没完全消退。[建议] AMD 06-26 C495 Call 逻辑:
1. 日内反弹强势(+6.5%),动能强
2. C495 行权价距现价 +$6.55(1.3% buffer),比 ATM 安全
3. IV 75% 处于高位 → 买贵了但有理由(波动大)
4. DTE 9 天,时间损耗可控
风控:
•最大亏损:权利金 $27.60/张
•止损:QQQ 跌破 $475 或 AMD 跌破 $470
•目标:AMD 突破 $500 → C495 内在值 $5+,加上 IV 扩张,潜在 $8~12
仓位:你自己定,通常 5~10 张为宜。要买的话我帮你确认具体下单参数(价格、市价/限价)。
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