
Rate Of Return$ZJ INNOLIGHT(03308.HK) /$Eoptolink(300502.SZ)
Leading overseas AI datacom player
The short-term demand logic remains intact, and it has been highlighted by the NVIDIA pluggable ecosystem; the new additions are US policy tail risks and valuation discounts.
Whether it is included in the list; certification of new platforms by US customers; revenue share and gross margin of 1.6T; source of overseas production capacity.
The core position logic still holds, but it is not advisable to bet on a single position when policy information is unclear; new positions should wait for rules and customer feedback.
$TFC(300394.SZ)
Optical devices/external laser and coupling links
CPO is not purely negative news; rather, it may shift value from complete modules to optical engines, connections, coupling, and lasers.
CPO/LPO-related revenue rather than "technology reserves"; customer mass production rhythm; unit value and yield rate.
More suitable for diversifying technology routes, but do not directly equate the CPO concept with revenue realization.
$Accelink(002281.SZ) /$HGTECH(000988.SZ)
Domestic substitution and domestic computing power chain
If the US supply chain is cut off, the overseas ceiling will be limited; but the strategic value of domestic substitution and independent chains will rise.
Quality of overseas customers, product generations, orders from domestic cloud factories, net profit margin, and realization of expansion.
A 偏向 policy hedging position, elasticity depends on the real share of high-end products, not just the "domestic" label.
Indium Phosphide/Indium concept
Upstream materials
The counter-narrative has policy basis, but supply scarcity and listed company profit elasticity are two different things.
Whether the company truly produces indium phosphide; capacity, purity, customers, profit contribution; actual changes in export licenses.
Only suitable for event observation, not for chasing rises based on keywords.
Broadcom / Coherent / Lumentum / Fabrinet
If Chinese suppliers are restricted, they may gain alternative shares; but they will also face upstream material, capacity, and cost shocks.
CPO mass production, customer concentration, 1.6T shipments, supply bottlenecks, and pricing.
Can be used as a geopolitical diversification expression, but it is not a risk-free alternative.
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