
In today’s pre-mkt summary for Subscribers: Stocks were little changed as Brent crude surged to $116/bbl amid escalating Middle East attacks threatening long-term damage to key oil & gas facilities in the Persian Gulf. The Fed held rates steady, again projecting only one 2026 rate cut while raising its 2026 core & headline inflation forecasts to 2.7%. 10-year TYs rose to 4.28%, gold and silver fell and bitcoin retreated. $Tesla(TSLA.US) slipped as debate raged online about whether FSD was the cause of a Cybertruck crash $Micron Tech(MU.US) -5.0% to $438 despite blowout 2Q results & strong 3Q guide as fears mount that memory-chip demand may have peaked. The 20-day conflict shows no signs of abating, with the Strait of Hormuz near standstill, Brent +66% since hostilities began, and world powers rejecting Trump’s call for naval escorts. We see equities eventually reclaiming new highs once the war ends, oil retreats, and slower jobs growth prompts faster Fed cuts, but remain cautious on $Tesla(TSLA.US) given declining 2026-2030 estimates and accelerating competition in unsupervised autonomy from $Alphabet - C(GOOG.US), $Baidu(BIDU.US), $Amazon(AMZN.US) and others (no position).
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